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Monaghan United vs Dublin City

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2006
Tue, May 30, 2006
2 - 4
07:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Dublin City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Monaghan United
22%
Draws
33%
Dublin City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monaghan United come out ahead of Dublin City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Monaghan United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Monaghan United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dublin City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 20%
Dublin City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Dublin City
Matches Played 13 4
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 0.92 1
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2006 FAI Cup
Monaghan United vs Dublin City
2:4
May 27, 2006 FAI Cup
Dublin City vs Monaghan United
0:0
Nov 12, 2005 Division 1
Dublin City vs Monaghan United
5:1
Sep 9, 2005 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Dublin City
1:1
Jul 11, 2005 Division 1
Dublin City vs Monaghan United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 40 / 100
Dublin City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Dublin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Dublin City let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Monaghan United scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monaghan United VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Dublin City

(Away)
04 Jun
Dublin City
0 : 2
Shelbourne
27 Aug
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 0
Dublin City
30 May
Monaghan United
2 : 4
Dublin City
27 May
Dublin City
0 : 0
Monaghan United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Malahide United 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
Waterford 5
Douglas Hall 0
Cork City 1
Longford 2
Athlone 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Waterford Crystal 1
Castlebar Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Carrigaline Utd 0
Kildare County 2
Bray 3
Dublin City 4
Monaghan United 2
Wayside Celtic 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
UC Dublin 2
Kilkenny City 0
Drogheda 0
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 3
Bangor Celtic 1
Blarney Utd 1
Derry City 3
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Dundalk 0
Waterford 1
Longford 2
Athlone 3
Finn Harps 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sligo Rovers 2
Bray 1
Dublin City 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 3
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 4
Longford 1
Athlone 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 0
Derry City 2
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Derry City 5
Final
St. Patricks 3
Derry City 4