Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-1, with Monaghan United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullamore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Tullamore haven't matched Monaghan United's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monaghan United a 37% chance of winning this.
- Monaghan United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Monaghan United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 20%
Tullamore Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaghan United | Tullamore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2010 League Cup
Monaghan United vs Tullamore
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monaghan United 40 / 100
Tullamore 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monaghan United Tullamore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tullamore let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Monaghan United scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.
Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monaghan United VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Monaghan United
(Home) 26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2 Monaghan United
Page 1 of 4
26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
15 May
Monaghan United
1 : 4 Derry City
27 Apr
Monaghan United
0 : 1 Bray
Page 1 of 2
Tullamore
(Away) 05 Jun
Tullamore
1 : 3 Salthill
16 May
Tullamore
2 : 1 Fairview Rangers
13 Apr
Monaghan United
6 : 1 Tullamore
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2 Carlow
25 Mar
Tullamore
4 : 1 Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 2
13 Apr
Monaghan United
6 : 1 Tullamore
21 Mar
Cherry Orchard
1 : 1 Tullamore
03 May
Carrigaline Utd
2 : 1 Tullamore
23 Jul
Athlone
3 : 0 Tullamore
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Letterkenny Rovers -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Castlebar Celtic 1
Salthill 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
UC Dublin -
TBD -
Longford 0
Athlone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tullamore 3
Carlow 2
Shelbourne 0
Monaghan United 1
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Mervue United 0
Letterkenny Rovers 1
Bray 3
Drogheda 1
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City 3
Galway United 2
Castlebar Celtic 1
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 0
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
Kerry 0
Waterford 2
Limerick 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 3
Bohemians -
TBD -
Tullamore 1
Monaghan United 6
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 6
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Bray 0
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 2
Finn Harps 0
UC Dublin 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 2
Sporting Fingal 0
Tralee 0
Waterford 9
Limerick 3
Cork City 0
Bohemians 1
Monaghan United 2
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
St. Patricks 1
Derry City 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 2
Waterford 1
Limerick 0
Monaghan United 3
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 0
Monaghan United 1
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Monaghan United 0
