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Monarhs vs Balvu SC

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
35' Event
41' Event

AI Match Summary

Monarhs in this Latvian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 7-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Monarhs
15%
Draws
0%
Balvu SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monarhs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monarhs lately — more wins on the board than Balvu SC.
  • Monarhs are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Monarhs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monarhs, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monarhs Clean Sheet 20%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monarhs Balvu SC
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 30
Goals Scored 3.73 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.36 5.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2017 Latvian Cup
Monarhs vs Balvu SC
6:0
Jul 5, 2015 Latvian Cup
Monarhs vs Balvu SC
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monarhs 85 / 100
Balvu SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monarhs Balvu SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monarhs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monarhs scored in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Balvu SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Away concern: Balvu SC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balvu SC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monarhs

(Home)
25 May
LDZ Cargo/DFA
7 : 0
Monarhs
16 Jun
Monarhs
2 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
09 Jul
Monarhs
1 : 9
Ventspils
02 Jul
Monarhs
12 : 0
JFC Dobele
25 Jun
Monarhs
6 : 0
Balvu SC
Page 1 of 3

Balvu SC

(Away)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
TBD -
Super Nova 0
Grobina 3
Saldus -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adazi -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna -
FK Bandava -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Lacplesis -
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 4
Ludzas NSS 1
TBD -
Ogre -
Lielupe 2
Priekuli 1
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marienburg -
Riga United 3
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Bebri -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
Kuldigas NSS 3
JFC Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
Compact.LV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 10
Grobina 0
Saldus 0
Riga FC 5
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
Adazi 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems 6
Fortuna 1
FK Bandava 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Lacplesis 0
Balvu SC 1
Monarhs 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 3
Ogre 0
Lielupe 0
Valmiera 7
Rezekne -
Marienburg -
Riga United 1
Jekabpils SC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
FK Alberts 0
Bebri 1
Alberts JDFS 3
Preilu BJSS 4
Kuldigas NSS 0
JFC Dobele 0
Compact.LV 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
AFA Olaine 5
Tukums 2000 2
FK Smiltene 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
Upesciems 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 3
Monarhs 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 1
Valmiera 10
Rezekne 2
Jekabpils SC 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Preilu BJSS 5
Compact.LV 2
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 1
Riga FC 0
AFA Olaine 0
SK Babite 1
FK Liepaja 4
Salaspils FK 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Ventspils 7
BFC Daugavpils 2
Valmiera 0
Rezekne 0
FK Metta 4
Skonto 4
Alberts JDFS 0
Preilu BJSS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 6
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 3
SK Babite 2
FK Liepaja 0
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Metta 0
Skonto 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Final
Jelgava 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0