Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Bruzzaniti G. In: Rolfini A.
Out: Bruzzaniti G.
49'
49'
Pieraccini S.
51'
51'
Tirelli M.
AI Match Summary
Catania in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Catania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monopoli haven't matched Catania's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monopoli a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Catania have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monopoli | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Catania
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
4:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Catania
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monopoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Tirelli M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Casasola T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caturano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monopoli 46 / 100
Catania 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monopoli Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Monopoli scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Defensive concern: Catania conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Monopoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monopoli VS Catania
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monopoli
(Home) 03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2 Monopoli
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Trapani
23 Mar
Monopoli
2 : 1 Benevento
Page 1 of 3
Catania
(Away) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
28 Mar
Latina
0 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
