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Stadium Background

Mons Claudius vs Rogaska

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2016/2017
Mons Claudius Logo

Mons Claudius

1 - 3
FT
Rogaska Logo

Rogaska

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2016/2017 game between Mons Claudius and Rogaska finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rogaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mons Claudius
15%
Draws
12%
Rogaska
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mons Claudius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rogaska come out ahead of Mons Claudius on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rogaska have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mons Claudius Clean Sheet 18%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Claudius Rogaska
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Mons Claudius vs Rogaska
0:9
May 6, 2017 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Rogaska
1:3
Oct 22, 2016 3. SNL - North
Rogaska vs Mons Claudius
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Claudius 36 / 100
Rogaska 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Claudius Rogaska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rogaska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Mons Claudius found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Rogaska's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Rogaska's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rogaska
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Claudius

(Home)
02 Sept
Mons Claudius
0 : 8
Radomlje
05 Feb
Mons Claudius
0 : 9
Rogaska
13 Oct
Mons Claudius
1 : 2
Dravograd
06 Oct
Pohorje
1 : 3
Mons Claudius
29 Sept
Mons Claudius
2 : 0
Dravinja
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Rogaska

(Away)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 2 26 21 3 2 107:25 66
2 Rogaska 26 16 6 4 76:29 54
3 Fuzinar 26 12 6 8 48:34 42
4 Dravograd 26 12 5 9 40:38 41
5 Korotan Prevalje 26 12 4 10 57:44 40
6 Mons Claudius 26 11 6 9 51:44 39
7 Smarje 26 11 5 10 37:39 38
8 Dravinja 26 11 3 12 35:39 36
9 Sampion Celje 26 10 3 13 47:57 33
10 SD Videm 26 8 5 13 36:54 29
11 Dobrovce 26 8 5 13 41:63 29
12 Lenart 26 7 6 13 36:58 27
13 SD Brunsvik 26 7 5 14 46:66 26
14 NK Smartno 26 4 2 20 19:86 14
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)