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Mons W vs Waregem W

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1st National Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The 1st National Women 2025/2026 game between Mons W and Waregem W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mons W
17%
Draws
70%
Waregem W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Waregem W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waregem W come out ahead of Mons W on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Waregem W taking it.
  • Regular 1st National Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mons W Clean Sheet 15%
Waregem W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons W Waregem W
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 1st National Women
Mons W vs Waregem W
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 1st National Women
Waregem W vs Mons W
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 1st National Women
Mons W vs Waregem W
0:0
Sep 2, 2023 1st National Women
Waregem W vs Mons W
7:0
Feb 25, 2023 1st National Women
Waregem W vs Mons W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons W 15 / 100
Waregem W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons W Waregem W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons W scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Waregem W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Mons W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mons W VS Waregem W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons W

(Home)
02 May
Famkes Oostende W
1 : 3
Mons W
25 Apr
Mons W
1 : 0
RSC Anderlecht II W
18 Apr
Standard Liege II W
4 : 0
Mons W
11 Apr
Mons W
1 : 2
Bilzen United W
28 Mar
Mechelen W
4 : 2
Mons W
Page 1 of 6

Waregem W

(Away)
02 May
Club Brugge II W
3 : 1
Waregem W
25 Apr
Waregem W
2 : 1
Famkes Oostende W
22 Apr
RSC Anderlecht II W
0 : 3
Waregem W
12 Apr
Waregem W
2 : 1
Standard Liege II W
28 Mar
Bilzen United W
3 : 0
Waregem W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leuven II W26183566:2757
2RSC Anderlecht II W26164656:3452
3RAAL La Louviere W26164647:3252
4Olsa Brakel W26154763:3949
5Waregem W26117837:3140
6Bilzen United W261241051:4640
7Mechelen W261121334:3035
8Tienen W261031330:4033
9Mons W26851333:5029
10Standard Liege II W26841439:4728
11Club Brugge II W266101044:5428
12Famkes Oostende W26681237:5626
13Femina Woluwe W26821628:5126
14VC Moldavo W26461621:4918
Promotion - Super League Women (Main)