Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Monsanto in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monsanto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Esmoriz lately — more wins on the board than Monsanto.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Esmoriz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monsanto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 17%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monsanto | Esmoriz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Monsanto vs Esmoriz
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monsanto 31 / 100
Esmoriz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monsanto Esmoriz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Esmoriz conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Monsanto scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: Monsanto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Esmoriz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Monsanto VS Esmoriz
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Monsanto
(Home) 29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0 Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5 Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1 Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1 Juv. Evora
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29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0 Atletico SC
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5 Fatima
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1 Juv. Evora
18 Mar
Monsanto
0 : 1 Caldas SC
03 Mar
Monsanto
1 : 1 1º Dezembro
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Esmoriz
(Away) 24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
03 Apr
Tondela
3 : 0 Esmoriz
20 Mar
SC Espinho
2 : 0 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
