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Mont Dore vs Waitakere United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2012/2013 game between Mont Dore and Waitakere United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waitakere United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mont Dore
20%
Draws
73%
Waitakere United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Waitakere United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Waitakere United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Waitakere United have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 15%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mont Dore Waitakere United
Matches Played 19 34
Wins 1 16
Draws 2 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.95 2.29
Goals Conceded 3.21 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
2:3
Apr 17, 2013 OFC Champions League
Waitakere United vs Mont Dore
3:1
Mar 31, 2012 OFC Champions League
Waitakere United vs Mont Dore
4:0
Dec 3, 2011 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
0:1
Mar 31, 2007 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mont Dore 10 / 100
Waitakere United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mont Dore Waitakere United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Waitakere United let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Mont Dore found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Mont Dore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Waitakere United
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mont Dore

(Home)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

Waitakere United

(Away)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)