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Montana vs Spartak Varna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Ogosta Stadium, Montana
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Match Events

25' Event
Stojanovski G.
Assist: Xande
31'
Balde U.
37'
Stojanovski G.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Montana and Spartak Varna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Montana
30%
Draws
35%
Spartak Varna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Montana haven't matched Spartak Varna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Varna's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Varna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Montana Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Spartak Varna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 efbet League
Montana vs Spartak Varna
0:2
Mar 3, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Montana
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 efbet League
Montana vs Spartak Varna
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Varna vs Montana
1:0
Oct 9, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Spartak Varna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovski G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chunchukov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 28 / 100
Spartak Varna 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Spartak Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Varna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Montana's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Spartak Varna
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
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Spartak Varna

(Away)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)