Sport Picks

Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Ogosta Stadium

Montana

0 - 2

Spartak Varna

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Stojanovski G.

Assist: Xande

31'

Balde U.

37'

Stojanovski G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Montana and Spartak Varna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Montana

Draws

90%

Spartak Varna

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Montana haven't matched Spartak Varna's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Spartak Varna's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Varna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Montana Clean Sheet 13%

Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montana	Spartak Varna
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	2	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 efbet League

Montana vs Spartak Varna

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Mar 3, 2026 efbet League

Spartak Varna vs Montana

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sep 19, 2025 efbet League

Montana vs Spartak Varna

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Apr 27, 2024 Vtora liga

Spartak Varna vs Montana

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Oct 9, 2023 Vtora liga

Montana vs Spartak Varna

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovski G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chunchukov T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 10 / 100

Spartak Varna 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montana Spartak Varna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Montana's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Montana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Spartak Varna

1 Goals Scored 1.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
9	Botev Vratsa	37	13	14	10	36:32	53
10	Lok. Sofia	37	11	14	12	51:48	47
11	Slavia Sofia	37	12	10	15	42:44	46
12	Spartak Varna	37	8	13	16	35:57	37
13	Septemvri Sofia	37	9	9	19	32:64	36
14	Beroe	37	7	13	17	28:52	34
15	Dobrudzha	37	8	7	22	28:52	31
16	Montana	37	4	11	22	21:55	23