Sport Picks
Montanesa vs Cerdanyola del Valles
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Bambo
90'
90'
Linares J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montanesa have won more games recently than Cerdanyola del Valles.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 20%
Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montanesa | Cerdanyola del Valles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 15 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Cerdanyola del Valles
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs Montanesa
0:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs Montanesa
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Cerdanyola del Valles
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs Montanesa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montanesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Linares J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cerdanyola del Valles Compare
Top Goalscorer Bambo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montanesa 36 / 100
Cerdanyola del Valles 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montanesa Cerdanyola del Valles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerdanyola del Valles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Montanesa found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Montanesa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montanesa VS Cerdanyola del Valles
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montanesa
(Home) 10 May
Peralada
5 : 0 Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1 UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0 Montanesa
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0 CE Manresa
12 Apr
CE Europa B
4 : 2 Montanesa
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1 UE Vic
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0 CE Manresa
02 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 2 FE Grama
22 Mar
Montanesa
3 : 1 Lleida
08 Mar
Montanesa
2 : 1 FC Lescala
Page 1 of 3
Cerdanyola del Valles
(Away) 10 May
Can Vidalet
1 : 2 Cerdanyola del Valles
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2 Peralada
26 Apr
UE Vic
1 : 1 Cerdanyola del Valles
19 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
4 : 4 L Hospitalet
12 Apr
CE Manresa
2 : 0 Cerdanyola del Valles
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Can Vidalet
1 : 2 Cerdanyola del Valles
26 Apr
UE Vic
1 : 1 Cerdanyola del Valles
12 Apr
CE Manresa
2 : 0 Cerdanyola del Valles
29 Mar
FE Grama
2 : 0 Cerdanyola del Valles
14 Mar
Lleida
1 : 1 Cerdanyola del Valles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CE Manresa | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:32 | 66 |
| 2 | CF Badalona | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 43:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Cornella | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 4 | CF Vilanova | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 38:27 | 56 |
| 5 | L Hospitalet | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:39 | 55 |
| 6 | FE Grama | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 49:35 | 54 |
| 7 | FC Lescala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51:51 | 46 |
| 8 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 9 | UE Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35:31 | 45 |
| 10 | CE Europa B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 44:53 | 45 |
| 11 | Montanesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:39 | 42 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Vilassar de Mar | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 14 | San Cristobal CP | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Valles | 34 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 40:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Can Vidalet | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:53 | 33 |
| 17 | UE Vic | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 31:47 | 32 |
| 18 | Lleida | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 21:46 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)