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Montanesa vs Mollerussa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Aviles J.
89' Event
Junior

AI Match Summary

Montanesa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
34%
Mollerussa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montanesa lately — more wins on the board than Mollerussa.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 17%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa Mollerussa
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Mollerussa
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Montanesa
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Montanesa
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Mollerussa
1:2
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Mollerussa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aviles J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 31 / 100
Mollerussa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa Mollerussa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montanesa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Mollerussa conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Montanesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS Mollerussa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
Page 1 of 6

Mollerussa

(Away)
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)