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Montanesa vs UE Vic

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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Match Events

89' Event
Pladevall Blancafort A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Montanesa and UE Vic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Vic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
37%
UE Vic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UE Vic haven't matched Montanesa's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Montanesa taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 20%
UE Vic Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa UE Vic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Vic
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Vic vs Montanesa
2:0
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Vic
2:1
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Vic vs Montanesa
1:0
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Vic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UE Vic Compare

Top Goalscorer Pladevall Blancafort A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 36 / 100
UE Vic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa UE Vic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montanesa scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

UE Vic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Montanesa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS UE Vic
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
Page 1 of 6

UE Vic

(Away)
10 May
UE Vic
0 : 1
CF Badalona
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
26 Apr
UE Vic
1 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
UE Vic
5 : 0
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)