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Montecasillas vs Deportiva Minera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Algar J.
40' Event
Vera J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Montecasillas and Deportiva Minera finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportiva Minera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Montecasillas
6%
Draws
90%
Deportiva Minera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportiva Minera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montecasillas haven't matched Deportiva Minera's recent run of results.
  • Deportiva Minera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Montecasillas Clean Sheet 19%
Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecasillas Deportiva Minera
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Montecasillas vs Deportiva Minera
0:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportiva Minera vs Montecasillas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecasillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Deportiva Minera Compare

Top Goalscorer Algar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecasillas 10 / 100
Deportiva Minera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecasillas Deportiva Minera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecasillas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Deportiva Minera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Montecasillas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportiva Minera
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecasillas

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
04 May
Montecasillas
1 : 3
Molinense
01 May
Caravaca
8 : 0
Montecasillas
27 Apr
Montecasillas
1 : 7
Lorca Deportiva
21 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0
Montecasillas
Page 1 of 6

Deportiva Minera

(Away)
17 May
Deportiva Minera
0 : 1
CD Coria
09 May
CD Coria
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4
Deportiva Minera
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera34246453:1978
2Real Murcia B34208667:3368
3Ciudad Cieza341911444:2468
4UCAM Murcia B341951042:2462
5Caravaca34187960:3261
6Lorca Deportiva34178964:3059
7Molinense341851160:3459
8CA Pulpileno341313839:2352
9Muleno CF341271537:4243
10Racing Murcia341171636:5140
11Plus Ultra341222043:5638
12E.G. El Palmar34991633:5236
13Bullense341061840:6536
14Balsicas Atletico34991635:5336
15Alcantarilla341061834:4136
16Ciudad de Murcia34791828:4330
17CD Algar34781931:6529
18Montecasillas34722531:9023
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)