Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecchio Maggiore vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Silenzi C.
23' Event
Silenzi C.
44' Event
Silenzi C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Montecchio Maggiore and Brusaporto finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Montecchio Maggiore
15%
Draws
73%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brusaporto are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Brusaporto
1:3
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brusaporto vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinellato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Silenzi C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 20 / 100
Brusaporto 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Brusaporto has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Brusaporto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Montecchio Maggiore's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)