Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montedio Yamagata vs Arterivo Wakayama

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2016 ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo
Sat, Aug 27, 2016
2 - 1
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Souza Diego
55' Event
Shirakata J.
118' Event
Hayashi R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Montedio Yamagata advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Montedio Yamagata
22%
Draws
18%
Arterivo Wakayama
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Montedio Yamagata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Arterivo Wakayama haven't matched Montedio Yamagata's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Montedio Yamagata's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Montedio Yamagata have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montedio Yamagata, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 20%
Arterivo Wakayama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montedio Yamagata Arterivo Wakayama
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 Emperors Cup
Montedio Yamagata vs Arterivo Wakayama
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza Diego
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hayashi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arterivo Wakayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirakata J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montedio Yamagata 58 / 100
Arterivo Wakayama 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montedio Yamagata Arterivo Wakayama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Arterivo Wakayama let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Arterivo Wakayama registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montedio Yamagata VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montedio Yamagata

(Home)
25 Jul
Albirex Niigata
3 : 4
Montedio Yamagata
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 7

Arterivo Wakayama

(Away)
11 Jun
Cerezo Osaka
5 : 0
Arterivo Wakayama
25 May
Arterivo Wakayama
4 : 3
Basara Hyogo
13 Dec
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
Arterivo Wakayama
28 Oct
Arterivo Wakayama
3 : 2
Hirakata
10 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 1
Arterivo Wakayama
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers-
TBD-
Niigata University0
Toyama1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo3
Tsukuba Univ.0
Kagura Shimane1
Okayama4
Montedio Yamagata2
Arterivo Wakayama1
Sony Sendai0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Suzuka Unlimited2
Tokai Gakuen1
TBD-
Vissel Kobe-
Sagan Tosu-
TBD-
Honda Lock0
Ryukyu1
Kyoto4
Cento Cuore Harima0
Aruverio Takamatsu0
Cerezo Osaka10
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima-
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oita Trinita3
MD Nagasaki0
TBD-
Kofu-
Mito1
Tokyo International University0
Kansai1
Shimizu S-Pulse2
Albirex Niigata-
TBD-
Reilac Shiga1
Kwansei3
Avispa Fukuoka7
Kagoshima United2
Tokai Kumamoto0
Renofa Yamaguchi4
Verdy2
VONDS Ichihara1
FC Tosu1
Kumamoto2
Fukushima United4
Thespakusatsu Challengers1
TBD-
Yokohama F. Marinos-
Omiya Ardija-
TBD-
Okayama II0
Gainare Tottori5
Kanagawa University1
Machida Zelvia0
Gifu II0
Iwata7
Nagano Parceiro5
Hokuriku0
TBD-
Nagoya Grampus-
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Kochi United1
Yamagata University0
Yokohama FC5
Kashiwa Reysol-
TBD-
Kyoto Sangyo0
Nara Club2
Kamatamare Sanuki1
Imabari0
SRC Hiroshima0
Ehime4
Tokushima6
Tokushima Celeste0
Fukuoka Univ.0
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
Yamanashi Gakuin2
Tochigi City1
TBD-
Shonan Bellmare-
FC Tokyo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Iwate Grulla Morioka4
Waseda Univ.0
TBD-
Vegalta Sendai-
Matsumoto Yamaga6
Tokuyama0
Gifu1
Honda FC2
Urawa Reds-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chiba5
Hokkaido University0
Saurcos Fukui1
Kanazawa4
Blaublitz2
Vanraure0
TBD-
Kawasaki Frontale-
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers3
Toyama0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1
Okayama2
Montedio Yamagata5
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
Suzuka Unlimited1
Vissel Kobe7
Sagan Tosu3
Ryukyu1
Kyoto1
Cerezo Osaka2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima-
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oita Trinita1
Kofu0
Mito0
Shimizu S-Pulse3
Albirex Niigata5
Kwansei3
Avispa Fukuoka2
Renofa Yamaguchi3
Verdy5
Kumamoto1
Fukushima United0
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Omiya Ardija1
Gainare Tottori0
Kanagawa University0
Iwata2
Nagano Parceiro1
Nagoya Grampus0
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Yokohama FC2
Kashiwa Reysol5
Nara Club2
Kamatamare Sanuki0
Ehime2
Tokushima2
Giravanz Kitakyushu0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Shonan Bellmare6
FC Tokyo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Iwate Grulla Morioka5
Vegalta Sendai2
Matsumoto Yamaga1
Honda FC2
Urawa Reds-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chiba2
Kanazawa0
Blaublitz1
Kawasaki Frontale3
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers2
Okayama1
Montedio Yamagata3
Vissel Kobe4
Sagan Tosu2
Cerezo Osaka0
TBD-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima-
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
Oita Trinita0
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Albirex Niigata1
Renofa Yamaguchi0
Verdy0
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Omiya Ardija5
Iwata0
Nagano Parceiro2
Yokohama FC3
Kashiwa Reysol1
Ehime0
Tokushima0
Shonan Bellmare4
FC Tokyo-
TBD-
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Honda FC2
Urawa Reds-
TBD-
Chiba1
Kawasaki Frontale4
1/8-finals
Kashima Antlers2
Vissel Kobe1
Sagan Tosu0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Gamba Osaka1
Shimizu S-Pulse0
Albirex Niigata0
Yokohama F. Marinos1
Omiya Ardija1
Yokohama FC0
Kashiwa Reysol1
Shonan Bellmare3
FC Tokyo2
Honda FC1
Urawa Reds3
Kawasaki Frontale4
Quarter-finals
Kashima Antlers1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
Gamba Osaka1
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Omiya Ardija4
Shonan Bellmare2
FC Tokyo1
Kawasaki Frontale2
Semi-finals
Kashima Antlers2
Yokohama F. Marinos0
Omiya Ardija0
Kawasaki Frontale1
Final
Kashima Antlers2
Kawasaki Frontale1