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Montenegro U18 vs Poland U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Widlarz D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Montenegro U18 and Poland U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montenegro U18
30%
Draws
47%
Poland U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Poland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Montenegro U18 haven't matched Poland U18's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montenegro U18 Clean Sheet 19%
Poland U18 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U18 Poland U18
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.34 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs Poland U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Poland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Widlarz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U18 32 / 100
Poland U18 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U18 Poland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U18 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Montenegro U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Poland U18 let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U18 VS Poland U18
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U18

(Home)
04 Oct
North Macedonia U18
0 : 1
Montenegro U18
19 Feb
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U18
17 Feb
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
0 : 0
Montenegro U18
12 Dec
North Macedonia U18
2 : 1
Montenegro U18
10 Dec
North Macedonia U18
2 : 1
Montenegro U18
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Poland U18

(Away)
03 Oct
Sweden U18
4 : 1
Poland U18
16 Nov
Poland U18
4 : 1
Denmark U18
13 Nov
Poland U18
1 : 1
Norway U18
13 Oct
Netherlands U18
1 : 2
Poland U18
11 Oct
Poland U18
2 : 0
Ireland U18
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