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Monterosi vs Giugliano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterosi play Giugliano in the Serie C - Group C 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Monterosi averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Giugliano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Monterosi won 3, Giugliano won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Monterosi and 0.86 for Giugliano. This points to a Monterosi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Monterosi
23%
Draws
36%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Monterosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterosi picked up more points recently compared to Giugliano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 25%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterosi Giugliano
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Giugliano
3:1
Dec 9, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Monterosi
3:1
Feb 12, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Monterosi
0:2
Oct 15, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Giugliano
2:2
Jun 9, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Giugliano vs Monterosi
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Eusepi U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silipo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Giugliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvemini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 42 / 100
Giugliano 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterosi Giugliano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Monterosi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Monterosi attacking → ← attacking Giugliano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Giugliano let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Monterosi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Giugliano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juve Stabia382213357:2479
2Avellino38209962:2969
3Benevento381812845:3366
4Casertana381714751:3865
5Taranto38209946:3165
6Picerno3815131053:4058
7Audace Cerignola381217954:4653
8Giugliano381581544:4753
9Crotone3813131254:4752
10Latina381491544:5151
11Foggia381391640:4448
12Sorrento381391639:4748
13Catania381291739:3845
14ACR Messina3811121541:4945
15Turris3811111646:5744
16Potenza3810131538:4743
17Monopoli3810121641:5142
18Virtus Francavilla388111930:5035
19Monterosi388111943:6235
20Brindisi38782328:6425