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Monterosi vs Tortoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Monterosi Logo

Monterosi

2 - 1
FT
Tortoli Logo

Tortoli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Monterosi and Tortoli finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Monterosi
20%
Draws
22%
Tortoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monterosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterosi come out ahead of Tortoli on wins alone.
  • Monterosi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 68%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterosi Tortoli
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Monterosi
1:4
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Monterosi vs Tortoli
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 95 / 100
Tortoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterosi Tortoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Tortoli has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Monterosi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterosi VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterosi

(Home)
19 May
Potenza
1 : 1
Monterosi
12 May
Monterosi
0 : 1
Potenza
27 Apr
Monterosi
1 : 0
Foggia
21 Apr
Turris
0 : 0
Monterosi
13 Apr
Monterosi
3 : 1
Giugliano
Page 1 of 7

Tortoli

(Away)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)