Sport Picks
Montevideo City vs Maldonado
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo 
Match Events
5'
5'
Rodriguez S.
9'
9'
Ramirez S.
35'
35'
Silvera F.
AI Match Summary
Maldonado in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maldonado.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Montevideo City have won more games recently than Maldonado.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 19%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevideo City | Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Maldonado
2:4
Mar 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Montevideo City
1:0
Feb 8, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Montevideo City vs Maldonado
2:0
Nov 29, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Maldonado
5:1
Apr 30, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Montevideo City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montevideo City Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pizzichillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Maldonado Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cesar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montevideo City 32 / 100
Maldonado 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montevideo City Maldonado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maldonado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montevideo City scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Montevideo City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Maldonado has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montevideo City VS Maldonado
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montevideo City
(Home) 18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
23 Aug
Montevideo City
5 : 1 Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Maldonado
(Away) 19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0 Maldonado
16 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2 Maldonado
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0 Maldonado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
