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Stadium Background

Montlucon vs Toulouse Fontaines Club

France France

CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2009/2010 game between Montlucon and Toulouse Fontaines Club finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montlucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Montlucon
28%
Draws
22%
Toulouse Fontaines Club
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Montlucon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montlucon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Fontaines Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlucon Toulouse Fontaines Club
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Toulouse Fontaines Club
4:2
Aug 9, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Toulouse Fontaines Club vs Montlucon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlucon 49 / 100
Toulouse Fontaines Club 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlucon Toulouse Fontaines Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Montlucon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Toulouse Fontaines Club conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Montlucon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlucon VS Toulouse Fontaines Club
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 6

Toulouse Fontaines Club

(Away)
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
Toulouse Fontaines Club
2 : 3
Les Herbiers
16 May
Bordeaux II
1 : 1
Toulouse Fontaines Club
08 May
Toulouse Fontaines Club
1 : 0
Genets
01 May
Albi
0 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Niort341811553:2399
2Moulins-Yzeure341610839:2992
3Lucon341511845:3990
4PSG II341315637:2888
5Albi341412842:4088
6Montlucon3414101045:3686
7Colomiers341391233:2982
8Les Herbiers341213948:4482
9Libourne3410141035:3178
10Le Mans II3410141042:3578
11Red Star341191438:4476
12Pau349121330:3573
13Aurillac348141226:4072
14Fontenay346181031:4170
15Genets34991629:4270
16Bordeaux II349111423:3269
17Balma346121628:4264
18Toulouse Fontaines Club346101825:3962
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)