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Monza vs Juve Stabia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Mota D.
42'
Delli Carri F.
46'
Sub
Maistro F. In: Zeroli K.
Out: Maistro F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Monza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Monza
20%
Draws
38%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Monza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monza, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Monza Clean Sheet 20%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Juve Stabia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 7 13
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Juve Stabia
2:1
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Monza
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Juve Stabia
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Monza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutrone P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnete R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 42 / 100
Juve Stabia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Juve Stabia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Monza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Juve Stabia
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
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Juve Stabia

(Away)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
16 May
Juve Stabia
2 : 2
Monza
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza-
TBD-
Modena0
Juve Stabia1
Palermo-
TBD-
Catanzaro3
Avellino0
Semi-finals
Monza4
Juve Stabia3
Palermo2
Catanzaro3
Final
Monza2
Catanzaro2