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Monza vs Real Vicenza

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sun, Jul 21, 2024
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monza host Real Vicenza in the Club Friendly 2024. This has Monza written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Monza at 2 goals for, 1.32 against; Real Vicenza at 0.25 for, 5.39 against. Past meetings favor Monza slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.13) point toward Monza. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Monza
15%
Draws
0%
Real Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Real Vicenza.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Monza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Monza Clean Sheet 20%
Real Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Real Vicenza
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 2 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.32 5.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Monza vs Real Vicenza
0:0
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Monza vs Real Vicenza
5:0
Feb 8, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Real Vicenza vs Monza
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Serie C - Group A
Monza vs Real Vicenza
1:2
Jan 26, 2014 Lega Pro C2/A
Monza vs Real Vicenza
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 85 / 100
Real Vicenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Real Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Real Vicenza let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Real Vicenza registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
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Real Vicenza

(Away)
19 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Real Vicenza
15 Jul
Sassuolo
5 : 0
Real Vicenza
28 Jul
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Real Vicenza
26 Jul
Real Vicenza
0 : 6
Arzignano
24 Jul
Cittadella
3 : 0
Real Vicenza
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