Sport Picks
Moquegua vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 
Match Events
16'
16'
Perleche A.
21'
21'
Sub
Perleche A. In: Montenegro E.
Out: Perleche A.
46'
46'
Sub
Fara C. In: Santamaria A.
Out: Fara C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes lately — more wins on the board than Moquegua.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moquegua 32 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moquegua Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moquegua has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Moquegua scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Moquegua VS Universitario de Deportes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moquegua
(Home) 26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0 Moquegua
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
FBC Melgar
0 : 0 Moquegua
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2 Tacna Heroica
23 May
Moquegua
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
09 May
Moquegua
2 : 2 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 3
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
23 May
Moquegua
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
20 May
Club Nacional
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
12 May
Sport Boys
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
