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Moragasmulla vs Pelicans SC

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Moragasmulla Logo

Moragasmulla

0 - 1
FT
Pelicans SC Logo

Pelicans SC

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2017 game between Moragasmulla and Pelicans SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelicans SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moragasmulla
15%
Draws
85%
Pelicans SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelicans SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pelicans SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pelicans SC taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Moragasmulla Clean Sheet 10%
Pelicans SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moragasmulla Pelicans SC
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2017 Super League
Moragasmulla vs Pelicans SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moragasmulla 10 / 100
Pelicans SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moragasmulla Pelicans SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelicans SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moragasmulla scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Defensive concern: Pelicans SC conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pelicans SC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moragasmulla VS Pelicans SC
1.33 Goals Scored 0.5
4.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moragasmulla

(Home)
05 Jul
Moragasmulla
0 : 8
Renown
28 Jun
Red Star
2 : 1
Moragasmulla
15 Jun
Java Lane
4 : 3
Moragasmulla
22 Dec
Blue Eagles
7 : 0
Moragasmulla
17 Dec
Moragasmulla
3 : 4
Super Sun
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Pelicans SC

(Away)
24 Jan
TSC Backa Topola
3 : 0
Pelicans SC
13 Feb
Pelicans SC
2 : 1
Red Star
09 Feb
Pelicans SC
0 : 4
Blue Star
03 Feb
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Pelicans SC
31 Jan
Pelicans SC
3 : 2
Solid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombo 17 12 4 1 46:11 40
2 Renown 17 12 4 1 44:18 40
3 New Young's SC 17 9 5 3 34:15 32
4 Super Sun 17 9 4 4 27:17 31
5 Pelicans SC 17 8 5 4 25:17 29
6 Blue Eagles 17 7 7 3 24:14 28
7 Matara City 17 7 6 4 28:17 27
8 Solid 17 6 5 6 26:28 23
9 Defenders FC 17 6 4 7 26:17 22
10 Saunders 17 5 7 5 21:24 22
11 Sea Hawks 17 6 2 9 23:26 20
12 UP Country Lions 17 6 2 9 36:51 20
13 Blue Star 17 4 6 7 18:27 18
14 Java Lane 17 4 5 8 19:30 17
15 Negombo Youth 17 5 2 10 24:41 17
16 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 23:39 16
17 Sri Lanka Police 17 4 1 12 18:41 13
18 Moragasmulla 17 1 3 13 19:48 6
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