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Moralo vs CD Zafra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo Logo

Moralo

Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
CD Zafra Logo

CD Zafra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo host CD Zafra in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Moralo have averaged 1.46 scored and 0.8 conceded recently, against CD Zafra's 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Moralo. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Moralo
22%
Draws
38%
CD Zafra
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • CD Zafra haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moralo CD Zafra
Matches Played 35 4
Wins 20 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.46 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 32 / 100
CD Zafra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moralo CD Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moralo scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Zafra conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

Solid form: Moralo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Zafra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS CD Zafra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moralo

(Home)
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

CD Zafra

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
08 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
AD Llerenense

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 CD Zafra 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Moralo 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
4 AD Llerenense 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5 Santa Amalia 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
6 Puebla de la Calzada 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Jerez CF 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 Castuera 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9 Cabeza del Buey 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 SP Villafranca 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Gevora 2 1 0 1 4:7 3
12 Jaraiz 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 UP Plasencia 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Pueblonuevo 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
15 Villanovense 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Guadiana 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
17 Montijo 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 Quintana 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)