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Moralo vs Hernan Cortes

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 game between Moralo and Hernan Cortes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moralo
6%
Draws
4%
Hernan Cortes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moralo come out ahead of Hernan Cortes on wins alone.
  • Moralo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moralo Hernan Cortes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Moralo
0:4
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Hernan Cortes
2:1
Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Hernan Cortes
1:1
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Moralo
4:2
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Hernan Cortes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 85 / 100
Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moralo Hernan Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Moralo found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Hernan Cortes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Moralo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moralo

(Home)
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 7

Hernan Cortes

(Away)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Merida 38 31 5 2 101:20 98
2 Extremadura UD 38 26 9 3 86:24 87
3 Jerez CF 38 25 6 7 70:18 81
4 CD Badajoz 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
5 CD Coria 38 20 6 12 55:40 66
6 Moralo 38 19 8 11 65:44 65
7 Don Benito 38 18 10 10 48:37 64
8 CD Azuaga 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
9 Pueblonuevo 38 13 13 12 50:42 52
10 Santa Amalia 38 15 6 17 44:50 51
11 Diter Zafra 38 12 14 12 51:48 50
12 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 6 20 39:61 42
13 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 3 22 48:75 42
14 Olivenza FC 38 11 7 20 46:69 40
15 CP Valdivia 38 10 7 21 43:73 37
16 Sanvicenteno 38 9 7 22 34:61 34
17 Deportivo Pacense 38 9 6 23 46:93 33
18 Castuera 38 8 9 21 39:68 33
19 UP Plasencia 38 6 9 23 49:83 27
20 Hernan Cortes 38 6 9 23 35:83 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)