Sport Picks
Moratalla vs Lorca Deportiva
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
Moratalla in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moratalla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorca Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Moratalla haven't matched Lorca Deportiva's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Lorca Deportiva taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moratalla | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0
Nov 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Moratalla
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moratalla 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moratalla Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moratalla scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Lorca Deportiva conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Lorca Deportiva's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moratalla
(Home) 15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3 UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1 Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3 Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0 Moratalla
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08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3 UCAM Murcia
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3 Beniel
10 Apr
Moratalla
1 : 2 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
27 Mar
Moratalla
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
13 Mar
Moratalla
3 : 1 Base Abaran
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Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Aguilas FC
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
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15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
22 Mar
Melilla
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
