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Moratalla vs Pinatar

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Moratalla and Pinatar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moratalla
6%
Draws
90%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinatar come out ahead of Moratalla on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pinatar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 13%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Pinatar
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Pinatar
0:2
Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
1:1
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
2:1
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Pinatar
0:0
Mar 29, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
Pinatar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pinatar let in goals in 73% of their last 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moratalla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

Pinatar

(Away)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)