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Moratalla vs Pinatar

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Moratalla and Pinatar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Moratalla
30%
Draws
52%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinatar come out ahead of Moratalla on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Pinatar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 17%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Pinatar
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Pinatar
0:2
Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
1:1
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
2:1
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Pinatar
0:0
Mar 29, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Moratalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
Pinatar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pinatar let in goals in 73% of their last 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moratalla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

Pinatar

(Away)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)