Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos

Moreirense

3 - 0

Vilafranquense

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Kodisang K.

30'

Amador P.

51'

Gomes Hugo

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moreirense in this Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Moreirense

20%

Draws

36%

Vilafranquense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moreirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Moreirense have won more games recently than Vilafranquense.
36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Moreirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Moreirense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Moreirense have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Moreirense Clean Sheet 20%

Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moreirense	Vilafranquense
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	7
Draws	7	12
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.97	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Liga Portugal 2

Vilafranquense vs Moreirense

1:2

Oct 14, 2022 Taça de Portugal

Moreirense vs Vilafranquense

3:0

Aug 7, 2022 Liga Portugal 2

Moreirense vs Vilafranquense

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodisang K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Amador P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.48

Vilafranquense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense 32 / 100

Vilafranquense 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moreirense Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilafranquense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreirense scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Vilafranquense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Moreirense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense

(Home)

14 Sept

Moreirense

3 : 1

Maritimo

09 Sept

Moreirense

0 : 4

Benfica

04 Sept

FC Porto

2 : 1

Moreirense

30 Aug

Casa Pia

0 : 1

Moreirense

16 Aug

Arouca

4 : 0

Moreirense

Page 1 of 7

Vilafranquense

(Away)

28 May

Vilafranquense

1 : 1

BSAD

19 May

Leixoes

2 : 0

Vilafranquense

14 May

Vilafranquense

0 : 0

Covilha

06 May

Mafra

2 : 1

Vilafranquense

29 Apr

Vilafranquense

2 : 0

Torreense

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Pero Pinheiro 7

AD Portomosense 1

Ferreiras 2

Culatrense 0

SC Pombal 2

Tomar 1

TBD -

Vigor Mocidade -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Vilar de Perdizes -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Sao Martinho -

TBD -

Guarda Desportiva -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valadares Gaia FC 5

SC Salgueiros 2

TBD -

Olivais e Moscavide -

TBD -

Chaves -

SC Angrense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

Academica -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Maria de Fonte 0

Merelinense 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

Alcains 0

Sertanense 1

TBD -

Castro Daire -

Lusitano FCV 0

Sanjoanense 3

Os Marialvas 3

Vila Cortez 1

CF Os Belenenses -

TBD -

Torreense -

Leca 1

GD Resende 2

FC Felgueiras 5

Mondinense 2

TBD -

Braga -

Lajense 3

Sao Roque 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Juv. Evora 3

Moncarapachense 0

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Oriental Dragon 2

1º Dezembro 1

Canelas 2010 2

Regua 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Gondomar 1

Rebordosa 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Vizela -

Varzim 2

Vila Mea 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Marinhense 0

Leiria 1

Rebordelo 0

CDC Montalegre 5

Sao Joao de Ver 7

Mortagua FC 1

Esperanca de Lagos 2

Industria 0

Vila Caiz -

TBD -

Amora -

TBD -

Estoril -

Caldas SC -

TBD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Benfica -

Paivense -

TBD -

Santa Eulalia 0

Tirsense 1

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -

TBD -

Imortal -

SB Castelo Branco 8

Aguias do Moradal 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Moura AC -

TBD -

Dumiense 4

Brito 1

Sintrense 1

Fazendense 0

TBD -

Real SC -

Vilaverdense FC 3

Atletico Arcos 1

TBD -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Oliveira Hospital 1

Lusitania FC 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Atletico SC 2

Olhanense 5

TBD -

Monte do Trigo -

Freamunde 2

GD Joane 3

TBD -

BSAD -

Machico -

TBD -

Alverca 2

Rio Maior SC 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Fabril do Barreiro -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Oriental 1

FC Madalena 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Paredes 1

Silves FC -

TBD -

Courense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Camacha 1

Amarante FC 0

Arronches Benfica 2

Mosteirense 0

Vinhais 0

SC Vianense 4

GS Loures -

TBD -

Meda 0

Beira Mar 6

GD Braganca 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Montijo -

Agueda -

TBD -

Pevidem -

Santarem 1

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Maritimo -

AD Fafe 5

CD Ribeira Brava 0

TBD -

Anadia -

TBD -

FC Porto -

1º de Maio Funchal -

TBD -

Serpa 3

Castrense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Lusitano GC 0

GD Fontinhas 2

SC Lusitania 2

SC Praiense 3

TBD -

Arouca -

1/64-finals

Pero Pinheiro 2

Ferreiras 1

SC Pombal 2

Vigor Mocidade 0

Vitoria Setubal 4

Vilar de Perdizes 0

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Sao Martinho 4

Guarda Desportiva 3

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valadares Gaia FC 2

Olivais e Moscavide 0

TBD -

Chaves -

SC Angrense 0

Nacional 2

Uniao Da Serra 0

Oliveirense 4

Academica 1

Tondela 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Merelinense 3

CD Rabo Peixe 4

Sertanense 3

Castro Daire 0

Sanjoanense 3

Os Marialvas 1

CF Os Belenenses 3

Torreense 1

GD Resende 1

FC Felgueiras 2

TBD -

Braga -

Lajense 1

Moreirense 3

Juv. Evora 2

Vilafranquense 3

Oriental Dragon 0

Canelas 2010 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Gondomar 2

Penafiel 3

TBD -

Vizela -

Varzim 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Leiria 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Vila Caiz 1

Amora 3

TBD -

Estoril -

Caldas SC 3

Covilha 0

TBD -

Benfica -

Paivense 1

Tirsense 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0

Leixoes 5

Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0

Imortal 1

SB Castelo Branco 0

SC Farense 1

GD Coruchense 0

Trofense 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Moura AC 0

Dumiense 5

Sintrense 2

Real SC 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

Atletico CP 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Estrela da Amadora 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Olhanense 1

Monte do Trigo 0

GD Joane 0

BSAD 3

Machico 2

Alverca 1

TBD -

Boavista -

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Academico Viseu 6

Oriental 2

Paredes 1

Silves FC 3

Courense 5

ACDR Lamelas 0

Camacha 1

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vianense 2

GS Loures 0

Beira Mar 3

GD Braganca 1

Montijo 0

Agueda 0

Pevidem 1

Santarem 0

Mafra 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

AD Fafe 1

Anadia 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Serpa 8

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

GD Fontinhas 5

SC Praiense 0

TBD -

Arouca -

1/32-finals

Pero Pinheiro 4

SC Pombal 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pacos Ferreira 0

Sao Martinho 0

Casa Pia 2

Valadares Gaia FC 3

Chaves 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 2

Santa Clara 0

CD Rabo Peixe 2

Sertanense 1

Sanjoanense 3

CF Os Belenenses 2

FC Felgueiras 1

Braga 2

Moreirense 3

Vilafranquense 0

Canelas 2010 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Penafiel 3

Vizela 4

Varzim 1

Sporting CP 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Amora 2

Estoril 3

Caldas SC 1

Benfica 2

Tirsense 1

Leixoes 4

Imortal 0

SC Farense 3

Trofense 0

Famalicao 1

Dumiense 2

Real SC 1

Vilaverdense FC 2

Portimonense 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Rio Ave 2

Olhanense 0

BSAD 2

Machico 1

Boavista 0

Academico Viseu 1

Oriental 0

Courense 0

Camacha 6

SC Vianense 1

Beira Mar 2

GD Braganca 0

Pevidem 1

Mafra 4

Maritimo 2

Anadia 0

FC Porto 6

Serpa 0

Gil Vicente 3

GD Fontinhas 0

Arouca 2

1/16-finals

Pero Pinheiro 1

Vitoria Setubal 4

Casa Pia 2

Valadares Gaia FC 0

Nacional 1

Tondela 0

CD Rabo Peixe 2

Sanjoanense 0

Braga 2

Moreirense 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Vizela 1

Varzim 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Estoril 0

Benfica 1

Leixoes 3

SC Farense 1

Famalicao 4

Dumiense 1

Vilaverdense FC 7

Oliveira Hospital 0

BSAD 4

Machico 0

Academico Viseu 3

Camacha 0

Beira Mar 3

Pevidem 2

Mafra 0

FC Porto 3

Gil Vicente 1

Arouca 4

1/8-finals

Vitoria Setubal 0

Casa Pia 1

Nacional 1

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Braga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Varzim 0

Benfica 2

Leixoes 1

Famalicao 2

Vilaverdense FC 1

BSAD 4

Academico Viseu 2

Beira Mar 0

FC Porto 4

Arouca 0

Quarter-finals

Casa Pia 2

Nacional 5

Braga 2

Benfica 1

Famalicao 4

BSAD 1

Academico Viseu 0

FC Porto 1

Semi-finals

Nacional 2

Braga 7

Famalicao 3

FC Porto 5

Final

Braga 0

FC Porto 2

Moreirense vs Vilafranquense

Portugal

Moreirense

Vilafranquense

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Moreirense Compare

Vilafranquense Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense

Vilafranquense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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