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Mori vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Molina J. I.
75' Event
Benedetti G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Mori and Portogruaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mori
15%
Draws
85%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portogruaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mori have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Portogruaro are scoring more at 0.94.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mori Clean Sheet 20%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mori Portogruaro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 0.63 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Mori
9:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Portogruaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mori Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benedetti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mori 36 / 100
Portogruaro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mori Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portogruaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Portogruaro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mori scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portogruaro
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mori

(Home)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)