Sport Picks

Montenegro

Druga Liga 2011/2012

Petnjica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar play Petnjica in the Druga Liga 2011/2012. Mornar Bar are favorites here. Recently, Mornar Bar averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. Petnjica averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Mornar Bar won 3, Petnjica won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2012 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Mornar Bar and 0.63 for Petnjica. This points to a Mornar Bar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Mornar Bar

18%

Draws

11%

Petnjica

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Mornar Bar picked up more points recently compared to Petnjica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 29%

Petnjica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mornar Bar	Petnjica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	18	4
Draws	7	2
Losses	6	24
Goals Scored	1.39	0.6
Goals Conceded	0.61	2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2012 Druga Liga

Mornar Bar vs Petnjica

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

5:1

Nov 20, 2011 Druga Liga

Mornar Bar vs Petnjica

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Sep 11, 2011 Druga Liga

Petnjica vs Mornar Bar

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sep 14, 2010 Montenegrin Cup

Petnjica vs Mornar Bar

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 70 / 100

Petnjica 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mornar Bar Petnjica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mornar Bar & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mornar Bar attacking → ← attacking Petnjica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Petnjica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Mornar Bar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Petnjica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 14

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Celik Niksic	33	25	5	3	72:14	80
2	Mornar Bar	33	19	7	7	55:26	64
3	Jedinstvo	33	18	7	8	50:23	61
4	Zabjelo	33	15	5	13	47:46	50
5	Bratstvo Cijevna	33	14	6	13	44:40	48
6	Igalo	33	12	8	13	25:27	44
7	Jezero	33	11	9	13	26:35	42
8	OFK Bar	33	12	4	17	44:54	40
9	Iskra Danilovgrad	33	11	6	16	31:47	39
10	Kom Podgorica	33	9	10	14	35:47	37
11	Ibar	33	9	8	16	34:43	35
12	Petnjica	33	4	3	26	16:77	15