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Mornar Bar vs SC Ashdod

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ansah E.
61' Event
Skrijelj D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Mornar Bar and SC Ashdod finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mornar Bar
20%
Draws
60%
SC Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mornar Bar come out ahead of SC Ashdod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Ashdod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 16%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar SC Ashdod
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Mornar Bar vs SC Ashdod
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrijelj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Ansah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 10 / 100
SC Ashdod 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar SC Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SC Ashdod conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS SC Ashdod
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
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SC Ashdod

(Away)
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
31 Aug
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
SC Ashdod
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
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