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Stadium Background

Morocco vs Angola

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Aguinaldo Matias
29' Event
Riahi I.
Assist: Hrimat M.
35'
Mouloua A.

AI Match Summary

Morocco in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morocco
30%
Draws
23%
Angola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco have won more games recently than Angola.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Morocco taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Angola Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Angola
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 28 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.09 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.49 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 African Nations Championship
Morocco vs Angola
2:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco vs Angola
1:0
May 28, 2014 Friendly International
Angola vs Morocco
2:0
Jan 19, 2013 Africa Cup of Nations
Angola vs Morocco
0:0
Mar 31, 2009 Friendly International
Angola vs Morocco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Riahi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Angola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 59 / 100
Angola 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Angola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Angola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Morocco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Angola
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Angola

(Away)
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
29 Dec
Angola
0 : 0
Egypt
26 Dec
Angola
1 : 1
Zimbabwe
22 Dec
South Africa
2 : 1
Angola
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)