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Mortagua FC vs Carapinheirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 game between Mortagua FC and Carapinheirense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carapinheirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mortagua FC
39%
Draws
30%
Carapinheirense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Carapinheirense haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC Carapinheirense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs Mortagua FC
2:2
Nov 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs Carapinheirense
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 32 / 100
Carapinheirense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC Carapinheirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mortagua FC scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Carapinheirense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mortagua FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00