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Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC host GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. Mortagua FC are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Mortagua FC at 1.25 goals for, 1.63 against; GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Mortagua FC have won 1 to GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.31, favoring Mortagua FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mortagua FC
44%
Draws
20%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mortagua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Matches Played 37 16
Wins 16 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Mortagua FC
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 36 / 100
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Mortagua FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Away concern: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Away)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)