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Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC host GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. This has Mortagua FC written all over it on paper. GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Mortagua FC have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Mortagua FC slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.31, favoring Mortagua FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mortagua FC
44%
Draws
20%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 15 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Mortagua FC
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 36 / 100
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mortagua FC scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Away)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)