Sport Picks

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Mortagua FC vs SC Pombal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Paranhos P.
49' Event
Rosa B.
73' Event
Rosa B.

AI Match Summary

SC Pombal in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Pombal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mortagua FC
40%
Draws
29%
SC Pombal
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than SC Pombal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SC Pombal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC SC Pombal
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs SC Pombal
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Mortagua FC
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SC Pombal vs Mortagua FC
4:1
Feb 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs SC Pombal
2:0
Dec 21, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Mortagua FC vs SC Pombal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pais J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paranhos P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 32 / 100
SC Pombal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC SC Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: SC Pombal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mortagua FC scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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SC Pombal

(Away)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)