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Morumbi FC vs Ariquemes FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 game between Morumbi FC and Ariquemes FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ariquemes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Morumbi FC
6%
Draws
90%
Ariquemes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariquemes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ariquemes FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morumbi FC Clean Sheet 10%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morumbi FC Ariquemes FC
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 6 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Morumbi FC
4:2
Mar 6, 2016 Rondoniense
Morumbi FC vs Ariquemes FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morumbi FC 10 / 100
Ariquemes FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morumbi FC Ariquemes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ariquemes FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Morumbi FC scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Morumbi FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morumbi FC VS Ariquemes FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
6 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morumbi FC

(Home)
08 Jun
Morumbi FC
0 : 5
CA Rondoniense
05 Jun
Real Ariquemes
7 : 0
Morumbi FC
31 May
Genus
6 : 0
Morumbi FC
28 May
Morumbi FC
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura
22 May
Guajara
1 : 0
Morumbi FC
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Ariquemes FC

(Away)
07 Jun
Ariquemes FC
2 : 1
Ji-Parana
27 May
Ariquemes FC
2 : 2
Vilhena
24 May
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ariquemes FC
14 May
Ariquemes FC
0 : 0
Real Ariquemes
06 May
Guajara
0 : 5
Ariquemes FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Genus760116:618
2CA Rondoniense752017:417
3Real Ariquemes742110:414
4Ariquemes FC73048:99
5Guajara71338:136
6Ji-Parana71248:145
7Rolim de Moura71247:155
8Morumbi FC70347:163
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (First stage - Play Offs)