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Morupule vs Santa Green

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Morupule and Santa Green finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morupule.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morupule
30%
Draws
23%
Santa Green
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morupule come out ahead of Santa Green on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Morupule's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Santa Green
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.28 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Santa Green vs Morupule
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Santa Green
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 85 / 100
Santa Green 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Santa Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Green let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Morupule found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Morupule remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Santa Green
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

Santa Green

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Tafic FC
5 : 0
Santa Green
05 May
Santa Green
1 : 0
Orapa United
24 Apr
Matebele
1 : 1
Santa Green
11 Apr
Santa Green
0 : 1
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)