Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Stromsgodset

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Aga O.
Assist: Laegreid J.
52'
Taaje J.
62'
Sub
Musbaudeen J. In: Vold Krohg H.
Out: Musbaudeen J.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Moss and Stromsgodset finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moss
6%
Draws
90%
Stromsgodset
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stromsgodset come out ahead of Moss on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Stromsgodset taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Stromsgodset
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.75 3.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stromsgodset
1:1
Jun 27, 2007 NM Cup
Moss vs Stromsgodset
0:3
Oct 22, 2006 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Moss
1:0
Jul 9, 2006 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stromsgodset
3:1
Sep 11, 2005 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Moss
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Aga O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stromsgodset Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehnert M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 10 / 100
Stromsgodset 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Stromsgodset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stromsgodset has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Moss remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Stromsgodset
1.75 Goals Scored 3.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
26 Jul
Moss
1 : 2
Raufoss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2
Moss
21 Jun
Moss
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
14 Jun
Sogndal
2 : 4
Moss
Page 1 of 6

Stromsgodset

(Away)
25 Jul
Stromsgodset
1 : 1
Lyn
04 Jul
Hodd
4 : 3
Stromsgodset
27 Jun
Stromsgodset
2 : 2
Odds BK
21 Jun
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Stromsgodset
14 Jun
Stromsgodset
6 : 1
Raufoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kongsvinger15103242:2233
2Haugesund15101444:2831
3Stabaek1593338:1630
4Stromsgodset1585242:2329
5Odds BK1574427:1925
6Hodd1563622:2521
7Ranheim1562736:3720
8Egersund1562727:2820
9Sandnes Ulf1562723:2620
10Bryne1562721:2420
11Sogndal1553728:3818
12Moss1552824:3417
13Raufoss1551919:3216
14Lyn1542918:3114
15Asane1542923:3313
16Strommen1533918:3612
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)