Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mossley AFC vs Chorley

England England

FA Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chorley in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mossley AFC
15%
Draws
26%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mossley AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chorley haven't matched Mossley AFC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mossley AFC a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Mossley AFC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mossley AFC Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mossley AFC Chorley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Mossley AFC vs Chorley
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mossley AFC 58 / 100
Chorley 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mossley AFC Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mossley AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Mossley AFC scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Mossley AFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mossley AFC VS Chorley
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mossley AFC

(Home)
25 Jul
Mossley AFC
1 : 0
AFC Emley
11 Jul
Mossley AFC
1 : 0
Radcliffe
06 Sept
Bridlington Town
1 : 0
Mossley AFC
26 Jul
Mossley AFC
0 : 0
Hyde
19 Jul
Garforth
2 : 1
Mossley AFC
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2
Chorley
15 Aug
South Shields
2 : 1
Chorley
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2
Chester
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1
Chorley
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rushall -
TBD -
Sheffield FC 5
Pontefract Collieries 0
Mickleover 5
Coleshill Town 0
Anstey Nomads 3
Alvechurch 1
Aveley -
TBD -
Royston Town 4
Bedford 1
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 0
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
South Shields -
Crook Town 2
Ashington 1
Witton Albion 3
City Of Liverpool 2
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Ramsgate 3
Folkestone 1
Broadbridge Heath 3
Faversham 1
Newcastle Benfield 2
Prescot Cables 1
Whitchurch Alport 2
Wythenshawe Town 3
Farsley -
TBD -
Newcastle Blue Star 2
Hallam 3
Harpenden Town 2
St Ives Town 5
Hitchin 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Kettering 2
Stafford 1
Malvern Town 0
Cleethorpes 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Bamber Bridge 2
Newton Aycliffe 3
Warrington Rylands 4
Thackley 0
Birtley Town 1
Dunston 5
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Stockton 1
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
Marine -
Chester -
TBD -
Workington 0
Hebburn Town 1
Basildon 0
Biggleswade FC 1
AFC Dunstable 1
Sudbury 0
Canvey Island 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Felixstowe & Walton 5
Leverstock Green 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 3
Darlaston Town (1874) 2
Dudley 0
Stourbridge 5
Leamington -
TBD -
Carlton Town 1
Stamford 0
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Campion 2
Blyth Spartans 4
Garforth 0
Bury FC 2
Southport -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Hyde 4
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Barnoldswick Town 1
Stratford 2
Worksop 3
Basford Utd. 6
Sporting Khalsa 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Great Yarmouth Town 1
Cheshunt 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 4
Silsden 2
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Gainsborough 2
Telford 1
Grantham Town 1
Newark and Sherwood 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Wellingborough 0
Shifnal Town 2
Redditch 3
Halesowen 2
Barton Town 0
Rugby 1
Melton Town 1
Hednesford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Billericay 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Harleston Town 2
Biggleswade Town 4
Spalding United 1
Matlock 0
TBD -
Alfreton -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Morpeth 1
AFC Emley 0
Mossley AFC 6
Whitby 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Buxton -
TBD -
Barwell 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 0
1874 Northwich 3
Stocksbridge 2
Newcastle Town 2
Long Eaton 1
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Swindon Supermarine 1
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 3
Didcot 0
Burgess Hill 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Athletic Newham FC 3
Amersham Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Aylesbury Vale 0
Bognor Regis 3
Margate 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Horsham FC 4
Virginia Water 0
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Gorleston 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Neots 4
Barking 5
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleet Town 2
AFC Stoneham 4
TBD -
Salisbury -
Bath City -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 3
Cribbs 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Sheppey United 1
Hanwell Town 7
Chertsey Town 3
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ashford United 6
Three Bridges 1
Punjab United 0
Corinthian 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Easington Sports 2
Frome Town 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Larkhall 2
Carshalton 3
Haywards Heath 1
Bracknell Town 0
South Park 1
Bideford 0
Melksham 1
Banbury 2
Dorchester 0
Brightlingsea 2
Haringey Borough 3
FC Witham Town 1
Sheringham 0
Lowestoft 6
Potters 2
Newmarket 2
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hartpury University 0
Nailsea & Tickenham 2
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 3
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
Willand Rovers 1
Brixham 0
Gosport Borough 4
Andover New Street 0
Gloucester City 2
Paulton Rovers 0
Enfield FC 0
Brentwood 5
Leiston 4
Waltham Abbey 1
Hornchurch -
TBD -
Hashtag 2
Stotfold 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury 4
Brantham 3
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Belper Town 3
Bromsgrove 4
Bottesford Town 1
Loughborough Students 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Laverstock & Ford 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Badshot Lea 1
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Larkfield & New Hythe FC 1
Cray Wanderers 9
Thame United 0
Wingate & Finchley 4
Hastings 3
Redhill 1
Harefield United 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Steyning Town 1
Merstham 2
Hanworth Villa 5
Walton & Hersham 7
TBD -
Farnborough -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Westfield 0
Chatham 2
Kingstonian 1
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Slough Town -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 1
Hungerford 1
Yate 0
Basingstoke 1
Sholing 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Ashford Town 0
Herne Bay 2
Hendon 3
Whitehawk 0
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Lordswood 3
Binfield 1
Sittingbourne 3
Dover Ath. 2
Plymouth Parkway 4
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Westbury United 3
AFC Totton 1
Worthing FC -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Wallingford & Crowmarsh 0
Dartford 6
Marlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Leatherhead 3
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Stortford 5
Cornard United 0
Hereford -
TBD -
Heanor Town 0
Ilkeston 1
Quarter-finals
Rushall 5
Sheffield FC 0
Mickleover 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Aveley 1
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield 5
South Shields 0
Crook Town 1
Witton Albion 2
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro 0
Brackley 2
Ramsgate 1
Broadbridge Heath 0
Newcastle Benfield 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Farsley 3
Hallam 1
St Ives Town 5
Berkhamsted Town 0
Kettering 1
Cleethorpes 0
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Newton Aycliffe 2
Warrington Rylands 4
Dunston 3
Scarborough Athletic 6
Stockton 3
Marine 2
Chester 3
Hebburn Town 0
Biggleswade FC 2
AFC Dunstable 1
Canvey Island 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 4
Stourbridge 2
Leamington 1
Carlton Town 0
Warrington Town 1
Radcliffe 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Bury FC 3
Southport 2
Hyde 1
Curzon Ashton 6
Barnoldswick Town 0
Worksop 6
Basford Utd. 3
King’s Lynn 1
Cheshunt 0
West Didsbury & Chorlton 1
Darlington FC 2
Gainsborough 2
Grantham Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Shifnal Town 2
Redditch 1
Rugby 3
Hednesford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Spalding United 1
Alfreton 2
Spennymoor 3
Morpeth 1
Mossley AFC 0
Chorley 3
Buxton 4
Barwell 3
Kidderminster 2
Leek Town 1
Guiseley 3
1874 Northwich 0
Newcastle Town 1
Scunthorpe 6
Poole Town 2
Taunton Town 3
Burgess Hill 2
Amersham Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Bognor Regis 0
Margate 4
Horsham FC 1
Dorking Wanderers 0
Gorleston 3
Barking 2
Needham Market 0
St. Albans 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 1
Salisbury 7
Bath City 2
Merthyr Town 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Hanwell Town 0
Chertsey Town 2
Ashford United 3
Corinthian 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 1
Frome Town 0
Larkhall 1
Carshalton 1
South Park 0
Melksham 4
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 3
FC Witham Town 2
Lowestoft 5
Newmarket 2
Nailsea & Tickenham 1
Chippenham Town 6
Wimborne 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City 6
Willand Rovers 0
Gosport Borough 4
Gloucester City 2
Brentwood 3
Leiston 5
Hornchurch 2
Hashtag 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury 0
Chelmsford 2
Bromsgrove 2
Bottesford Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Torquay 0
Cray Valley 0
Chesham 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cray Wanderers 2
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hastings 1
Harefield United 0
Tonbridge 2
Merstham 1
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling 0
Chatham 1
Chichester City 3
Slough Town 4
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winchester City 2
Hungerford 1
Sholing 1
Weymouth 4
Herne Bay 3
Hendon 0
Maidstone 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Lordswood 0
Sittingbourne 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Westbury United 3
Worthing FC 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Dartford 2
Leatherhead 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 0
Stortford 1
Hereford 2
Ilkeston 1
Semi-finals
Rushall 2
Anstey Nomads 1
Royston Town 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Macclesfield 6
Witton Albion 1
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Brackley 4
Ramsgate 1
Wythenshawe Town 0
Farsley 1
St Ives Town 0
Kettering 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Warrington Rylands 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Stockton 1
Chester 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Canvey Island 0
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 1
Leamington 0
Radcliffe 2
Bury FC 3
Southport 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Worksop 1
King’s Lynn 2
Darlington FC 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Shifnal Town 0
Hednesford 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Biggleswade Town 0
Alfreton 6
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 0
Buxton 1
Kidderminster 3
Guiseley 1
Scunthorpe 0
Taunton Town 2
Amersham Town 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Margate 1
Horsham FC 3
Gorleston 4
St. Albans 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
Salisbury 1
Bath City 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Chertsey Town 3
Ashford United 2
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood 2
Larkhall 1
Carshalton 3
Melksham 2
Haringey Borough 4
Lowestoft 6
Chippenham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Oxford City 2
Gosport Borough 3
Leiston 4
Hornchurch 2
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
Chelmsford 2
Bromsgrove 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
Chesham 4
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cray Wanderers 3
Hastings 0
Tonbridge 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Slough Town 3
Forest Green -
TBD -
Winchester City 2
Weymouth 5
Herne Bay 0
Maidstone 1
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Sittingbourne 0
Plymouth Parkway 3
Worthing FC 3
Dartford 1
Braintree -
TBD -
Stortford 3
Hereford 2
Final
Rushall 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth 4
Macclesfield 2
Oldham 4
Halifax 2
Hartlepool 2
Brackley 4
Farsley 1
Kettering 2
Altrincham 3
Solihull Moors 4
AFC Fylde 1
Rochdale 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Chester 1
Biggleswade FC 1
York City 3
Harborough 1
Bury FC 0
Curzon Ashton 1
King’s Lynn 0
Gainsborough 6
Boston United 2
Hednesford 4
Gateshead 2
Alfreton 1
Spennymoor 0
Kidderminster 0
Guiseley 1
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 4
Horsham FC 1
Gorleston 0
Aldershot 2
Bath City 1
Eastleigh 0
Southend 1
Chertsey Town 1
Sutton 3
Boreham Wood 4
Carshalton 0
Lowestoft 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
Wealdstone 4
Gosport Borough 1
Leiston 1
Dagenham & Red. 5
Barnet 4
Chelmsford 0
Chesham 1
Yeovil 0
Cray Wanderers 0
Tonbridge 1
Woking 2
Slough Town 1
Forest Green 2
Weymouth 0
Maidstone 3
Ebbsfleet 0
Plymouth Parkway 0
Worthing FC 4
Braintree 1
Stortford 0