Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motala vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motala play Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Motala averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Kumla averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Motala won 2, Kumla won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Motala and 1.06 for Kumla. This points to a Motala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Motala
34%
Draws
26%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Motala picked up more points recently compared to Kumla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Motala Clean Sheet 22%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Kumla
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Kumla
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Motala
1:3
Jun 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Kumla
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Motala
1:3
Jun 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Kumla
5:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 40 / 100
Kumla 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Motala or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Motala attacking → ← attacking Kumla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motala scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Kumla let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Motala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kumla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408