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Motherwell vs Genk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Just E.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Bibout A.
44' Event
Heymans D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Motherwell and Genk finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motherwell
35%
Draws
39%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Genk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Genk a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 12%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Genk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Motherwell vs Genk
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunter R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bibout A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heymans D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 14 / 100
Genk 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Motherwell's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Genk conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Motherwell has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Genk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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Genk

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
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