Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motherwell vs Genk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Just E.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Bibout A.
44' Event
Heymans D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Motherwell and Genk finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Motherwell
11%
Draws
9%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Motherwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Motherwell a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 13%
Genk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Genk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Motherwell vs Genk
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunter R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bibout A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heymans D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 75 / 100
Genk 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Motherwell's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Genk conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Genk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Genk
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
23 Jul
Motherwell
2 : 0
HB Torshavn
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
16 May
Hibernian
0 : 1
Motherwell
13 May
Motherwell
2 : 3
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
Page 1 of 6