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Motherwell W vs Glasgow City W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 K-Park Training Academy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motherwell W play Glasgow City W in the SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026. Glasgow City W are favorites here. Recently, Motherwell W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. Glasgow City W averaged 2.37 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Motherwell W won 0, Glasgow City W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.74 for Motherwell W and 1.60 for Glasgow City W. This points to a Glasgow City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Motherwell W
15%
Draws
60%
Glasgow City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glasgow City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell W picked up more points recently compared to Glasgow City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.74 vs 1.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 14%
Glasgow City W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Glasgow City W
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 10 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.69 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.86 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Glasgow City W
0:4
Aug 17, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Glasgow City W vs Motherwell W
3:0
May 14, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Glasgow City W
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Scottish Cup Women
Glasgow City W vs Motherwell W
4:0
Apr 13, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Glasgow City W vs Motherwell W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.43

Glasgow City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlova N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motlhalo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 25 / 100
Glasgow City W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Glasgow City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glasgow City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Glasgow City W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Motherwell W attacking → ← attacking Glasgow City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Glasgow City W let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Motherwell W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Glasgow City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 71
2.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Glasgow City W18144049:646
2Rangers W18132362:1641
3Celtic W18132353:1741
4Hearts W18131465:2140
5Hibernian W18104447:1534
6Partick W18521113:4717
7Montrose W18431117:5215
8Motherwell W18321315:4511
9Aberdeen W18321317:4811
10Hamilton W1802168:792