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Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Skrabb S.
30'
Terpilowski E.
31'
Sub
Aiko M. In: Fabio Ronaldo
Out: Aiko M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Motor Lublin and Polonia Warszawa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Motor Lublin
6%
Draws
4%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Warszawa haven't matched Motor Lublin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Motor Lublin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Division 1
Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Aug 26, 2023 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewandowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrabb S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 84 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Polonia Warszawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Polonia Warszawa
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%