Sport Picks
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Struski K. In: Repka O.
Out: Struski K.
46'
46'
Sub
Ameyaw M. In: Silva J. C.
Out: Ameyaw M.
59'
59'
Sub
Fabio Ronaldo In: van Hoeven B.
Out: Fabio Ronaldo
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Motor Lublin and Rakow Czestochowa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Motor Lublin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Motor Lublin have managed 1.75 goals a game lately — Rakow Czestochowa are scoring more at 2.
- Win probability leans Motor Lublin's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 14%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motor Lublin | Rakow Czestochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:2
Mar 1, 2023 Polish Cup
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motor Lublin 84 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motor Lublin Rakow Czestochowa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motor Lublin found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Rakow Czestochowa conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Motor Lublin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Motor Lublin VS Rakow Czestochowa
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Motor Lublin
(Home) 17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
27 Jun
Motor Lublin
3 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
23 May
Legia
4 : 0 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
27 Jun
Motor Lublin
3 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
16 May
Motor Lublin
3 : 3 Cracovia
Page 1 of 4
Rakow Czestochowa
(Away) 23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1 Valletta
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
17 May
Piast Gliwice
1 : 3 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)