Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin host Slask Wroclaw in the Ekstraklasa. This one's hard to separate. Motor Lublin have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Slask Wroclaw's 2.36 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Motor Lublin have won 1 to Slask Wroclaw's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Slask Wroclaw. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Motor Lublin
15%
Draws
36%
Slask Wroclaw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slask Wroclaw lately — more wins on the board than Motor Lublin.
  • Model gives Motor Lublin a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 16%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Slask Wroclaw
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw
2:1
May 17, 2008 Division 1
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw
0:1
Oct 14, 2007 Division 1
Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin
10:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 57 / 100
Slask Wroclaw 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Slask Wroclaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Slask Wroclaw let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Slask Wroclaw registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Slask Wroclaw
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Slask Wroclaw

(Away)
03 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3
Liberec
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)