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Motril vs UD Carboneras Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between Motril and UD Carboneras finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Motril
15%
Draws
0%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of UD Carboneras on wins alone.
  • Motril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril UD Carboneras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 0
Draws 11 0
Losses 6 30
Goals Scored 1.43 0
Goals Conceded 0.93 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Motril
0:3
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD Carboneras
8:0
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs UD Carboneras
1:1
Sep 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Motril
0:1
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Motril
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 85 / 100
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carboneras let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

UD Carboneras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)