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Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Motril host UD Carboneras in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011. This has Motril written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Motril at 2.38 goals for, 0.88 against; UD Carboneras at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Motril have won 3 to UD Carboneras's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2012, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 0.94, favoring Motril. Motril in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Motril

Draws

UD Carboneras

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Motril has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UD Carboneras.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Motril.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Motril Clean Sheet 20%

UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Motril	UD Carboneras
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	19	0
Draws	15	0
Losses	6	30
Goals Scored	2.38	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

UD Carboneras vs Motril

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Motril vs UD Carboneras

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

8:0

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Motril vs UD Carboneras

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Sep 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

UD Carboneras vs Motril

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

UD Carboneras vs Motril

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 85 / 100

UD Carboneras 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Motril UD Carboneras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril scored in 80% of their last 40 games.

UD Carboneras let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UD Carboneras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -

2.38 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comarca	38	23	10	5	57:29	79
2	Alhaurin	38	22	12	4	58:23	78
3	Loja	38	21	11	6	61:35	74
4	Malaga B	38	20	10	8	62:35	70
5	CD Ronda	38	19	11	8	68:37	68
6	Maracena	38	17	12	9	51:37	63
7	Antequera	38	18	8	12	72:47	62
8	Motril	38	15	13	10	50:33	58
9	Marbella	38	16	8	14	58:46	56
10	Martos	38	14	11	13	38:40	53
11	Mancha	38	11	16	11	49:42	49
12	Huetor Tajar	38	12	10	16	36:51	46
13	El Palo	38	13	7	18	57:65	46
14	Ciudad de Vicar	38	11	12	15	46:55	45
15	Velez	38	11	11	16	56:57	44
16	UD Carboneras	38	10	10	18	57:71	40
17	Melilla B	38	7	13	18	40:71	34
18	CD Baza	38	8	10	20	29:58	34
19	CD Alhaurino	38	7	9	22	38:58	30
20	Adra	38	0	6	32	13:106	6