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Mounties Wanderers FC vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cakovski J.
64' Event
Bittar D.
70' Event
Cakovski J.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One 2025 game between Mounties Wanderers FC and Bonnyrigg White Eagles finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mounties Wanderers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mounties Wanderers FC
44%
Draws
20%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg White Eagles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NSW League One 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mounties Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 11%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mounties Wanderers FC Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 NSW League One
Mounties Wanderers FC vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Mounties Wanderers FC
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Mounties Wanderers FC
1:4
May 7, 2023 NSW League One
Mounties Wanderers FC vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
2:3
May 28, 2022 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Mounties Wanderers FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mounties Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakovski J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bonnyrigg White Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Bittar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mounties Wanderers FC 35 / 100
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mounties Wanderers FC Bonnyrigg White Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg White Eagles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mounties Wanderers FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Mounties Wanderers FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mounties Wanderers FC VS Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mounties Wanderers FC

(Home)
30 Aug
Bulls Academy
3 : 3
Mounties Wanderers FC
23 Aug
Hills United
1 : 3
Mounties Wanderers FC
16 Aug
Mounties Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Blacktown Spartans
09 Aug
Inter Lions
3 : 2
Mounties Wanderers FC
02 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 0
Mounties Wanderers FC
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Bonnyrigg White Eagles

(Away)
13 Sept
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1 : 3
Prospect United
06 Sept
Prospect United
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
30 Aug
Inter Lions
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
23 Aug
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
3 : 2
Rydalmere Lions
16 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNSW30178557:3159
2SD Raiders30184852:3358
3Blacktown Spartans301731052:4554
4Rydalmere Lions30156964:4451
5Newcastle Jets U2330157872:4949
6Northern Tigers301541157:3749
7Inter Lions301361144:3845
8Bulls Academy301110946:4743
9Hills United301151442:4138
10Bankstown City Lions FC301141538:4537
11Hakoah Sydney30981353:6335
12Canterbury Bankstown FC307131036:4434
13Dulwich Hill30941737:6731
14Macarthur Rams30781526:5029
15Bonnyrigg White Eagles30771638:5828
16Mounties Wanderers FC30671730:5225
Promotion - NPL NSW (Main)
Promotion - NSW League One 2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - NSW League One 2025 (Relegation)