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Mounties Wanderers FC vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2023
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AI Match Summary

The NSW League One 2023 game between Mounties Wanderers FC and St George Saints finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mounties Wanderers FC
6%
Draws
4%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mounties Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mounties Wanderers FC come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Mounties Wanderers FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NSW League One 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mounties Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mounties Wanderers FC St George Saints
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 NSW League One
Mounties Wanderers FC vs St George Saints
2:2
May 13, 2023 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Mounties Wanderers FC
4:1
Jul 27, 2022 NSW League One
Mounties Wanderers FC vs St George Saints
0:4
Apr 23, 2022 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Mounties Wanderers FC
1:2
Jun 26, 2021 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Mounties Wanderers FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mounties Wanderers FC 85 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mounties Wanderers FC St George Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Mounties Wanderers FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

St George Saints let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: St George Saints registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St George Saints
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mounties Wanderers FC

(Home)
30 Aug
Bulls Academy
3 : 3
Mounties Wanderers FC
23 Aug
Hills United
1 : 3
Mounties Wanderers FC
16 Aug
Mounties Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Blacktown Spartans
09 Aug
Inter Lions
3 : 2
Mounties Wanderers FC
02 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 0
Mounties Wanderers FC
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St George Saints

(Away)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hills United30206464:3866
2St George Saints30177667:4058
3Bonnyrigg White Eagles30184859:4658
4SD Raiders30174964:4355
5Canterbury Bankstown FC30174952:3655
6Inter Lions301641055:4952
7Northern Tigers301631162:3751
8Blacktown Spartans301281048:4544
9Hakoah Sydney301061445:4836
10Bankstown City Lions FC30981340:4235
11Rydalmere Lions301031738:5333
12Dulwich Hill30951643:5632
13Macarthur Rams30951634:5532
14Dunbar Rovers30851736:6129
15Mounties Wanderers FC30831944:5827
16Central Coast United30452137:8117
Promotion - NPL NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2024 (Relegation)